A new Washington Post-ABC News poll offers conflicting forecasts for the 2018 election, voters prefer clear that Democrats control Congress to verify President Trump, although Republicans seem more motivated for a length of polling.
A slight majority of registered voters – 52 percent – say they want Democrats to control the next Congress, while Republican control of 38 percent favors promoting the president’s agenda, according to the poll.
However, a push against the Trump protest seems to have reflected the enthusiasm of Democratic voters – a signal that could interfere with the Democrats’ hope to regain majority in the following year’s house.
Trump’s lowest approval rating, which fell to 36% from 42% in April, could also be significant if it does not improve over the next year.
The study also suggests that a moving voter ultimately could push Democrats to big gains if voters who jumped before the midterm elections get to vote in 2018.
The snapshot shows that Congress has come to a major hurdle in efforts to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, Republican leaders in the Senate this week abbreviated remaining votes they need to advance their deeply unpopular law project.
Although the survey was conducted before the drop in health care pressure, the results suggest a new uncertainty about whether Democrats can recruit strong candidates and mobilize voters despite negative views on the agenda Republican
Republicans currently have a House seat advantage of 24 seats and Democrats highlighted the dynamism of activism, Trump’s unpopularity and overall voter preference for Democratic Congressional candidates as evidence that most might be at stake.
The Post-ABC poll shows that Republicans actually have the edge in enthusiasm at this early stage of the campaign cycle.
A 65 percent majority of Republicans and independents who lean GOP says they are sure to vote next year, up from 57 percent of Democrats and independent Democrats.
Among Americans who did not vote in the last midterm election in 2014, Democrats and Republicans are just as likely to say they plan to vote in 2018 – suggesting that there is not a disproportionate number of newly motivated Democrats ready to release next year.
Independent, for their part, prefer democratic control as a bulwark against the Trump agenda by the same margin of 14 points from the Democrats.
And then there’s the story: the White House party, with some exceptions in the modern era, tended to lose seats in Congress in midterm elections.
“We have a unique opportunity for control of the House of Representatives in 2018,” Ben Ray Lujan (D-N · m.), Chair of the Congressional Democratic Campaign Committee, said in a memorandum last month.
“This is a lot more of a race: the nationwide, unprecedented energy base and impressive Democratic candidates entering the battlefield leave no doubt that the Democrats can take home next fall.”
Democrats, however, this year have suffered a series of losses in the special elections for House open seats – no more overwhelming than their failure to win a race in Atlanta neighborhood that has generated more campaign expenses external competition than any other house In the history of the United States.